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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Growth A/B Testing |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-6 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |