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| Criterion | ![]() Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting | ![]() Operations Waste Analysis | ![]() Delivery Cost of Delay | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-120 min | 90-180 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | WasteLeanProcess improvement | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |



