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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-3 h | Half day | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-10 | 3-12 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability |