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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-3 h | 1-5 Tage | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-10 | 4-12 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |