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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Growth Flywheel |  Growth Hooked Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-3 h | 60-120 min | Multiple workshops over several weeks |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | GrowthRetentionConversion | GrowthBehaviorRetention |