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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Systems Thinking Systems Mapping |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-3 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | System Map, Dependencies, Leverage Points | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy |