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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 30-60 min | 1-2 h | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |