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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | laufend | 2-8 h | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | EstimationForecastingFlow | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |