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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |  Innovation Lean Startup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min | 5-15 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | StartupValidationCompetition | LeanStartupValidationMVP |