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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Operations 5 Whys |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 2-8 h | 90-180 min | 15-30 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Root cause notes, Countermeasures |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving |