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| Criterion | ![]() Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting | ![]() Product Strategy GIST Planning | ![]() Business Strategy GAP Analysis | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | GIST Planning helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities. It links customer value, product logic, and decision priorities, and captures the result as goals, an idea bank, and a step-project list. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Wochen bis Monate je Goal | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Goals, Idea bank, Step-project list, Tasks, Learning reports | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | RoadmapOutcomesPlanningExperiments | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |



