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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Strategy GIST Planning |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | GIST Planning helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities. It links customer value, product logic, and decision priorities, and captures the result as goals, an idea bank, and a step-project list. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Wochen bis Monate je Goal | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Goals, Idea bank, Step-project list, Tasks, Learning reports | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | RoadmapOutcomesPlanningExperiments | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning |