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Selected:Monte Carlo ForecastingFailure Mode and Effects AnalysisValue Stream MappingA3 Problem Solving
| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Failure Mode and Effects Analysis |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Operations A3 Problem Solving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 2-6 h | 1-3 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | FMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations |