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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations DMAIC |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a process problem with fluctuating performance, the method brings analysis and improvement into a disciplined sequence. It creates a framework in which numbers, causes, and control come together. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 2-12 Wochen | laufend | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 2-12 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Project Charter, Measurement Plan, Cause Analysis, Control Plan | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | Continuous improvementQualityProcess improvement | EstimationForecastingFlow | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |