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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 4-10 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |