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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Engineering Kanban |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | Ongoing |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy | FlowVisual managementDelivery |