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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making DACI |  Facilitation Alignment Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In cross-functional decisions, responsibilities quickly blur between approval, influence, and execution. DACI arranges these roles so decision pressure, contribution, and information stay cleanly separated. | When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-10 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | DACI Matrix, Decision Owner, Decision Log | Alignment Map, Open Issues, Decision Questions |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionRolesGovernanceAlignment | AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation |