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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |