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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam
Paper illustration for Alignment Mapping.
Facilitation
Alignment Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer.When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend60-90 min1-2 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-84-104-126-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationProblem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, ExperimentAlignment Map, Open Issues, Decision QuestionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop
AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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