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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of VRIO Framework with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
VRIO Framework
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The VRIO Framework rates resources and capabilities on whether they are Valuable, Rare, Inimitable, and Organized. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a VRIO table and strategic actions.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend45-90 min90-180 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-83-62-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanVRIO Table, Strategic ActionsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyDiagnosisBusiness modelCapability
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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