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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration of VRIO Framework with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
VRIO Framework
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.The VRIO Framework rates resources and capabilities on whether they are Valuable, Rare, Inimitable, and Organized. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a VRIO table and strategic actions.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend45-90 minHalf day90-180 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-83-83-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanStress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioVRIO Table, Strategic Actions
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
StrategyDiagnosisBusiness modelCapability
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