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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-60 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |