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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 10-20 min daily | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |