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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Agile Story Splitting |  Agile Planning Poker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | When a story becomes too large for a clean flow, it breaks scope down along value and risk. It shapes the work into a form that ships earlier and is easier to verify. | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 30-90 min | 30-60 min | 2-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | Smaller Stories, Acceptance Criteria, Split Rationale | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | BacklogIterationDelivery | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam |