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Criterion
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
Half day15-45 min1-4 h or multiple rounds5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
3-121-84-12 Experten3-20
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Leverage Map, Action StrategyPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationEffortRisk
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