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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | Half day | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |