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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Waste Analysis |  Agile NoEstimates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-120 min | laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules |
Tagsno overlap | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | ForecastingFlowDelivery | WasteLeanProcess improvement | EstimationForecastingFlow |