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| Criterion |  Engineering Kanban |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | Ongoing | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | FlowVisual managementDelivery | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ForecastingFlowDelivery |