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Criterion
Paper illustration of a four-column Kanban board with limited ongoing work, a visible blocker and a review loop.
Engineering
Kanban
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Purposedifferent
When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
Ongoing15-45 min30-90 min Setup, danach laufend10-30 min je Item
Participantsdifferent
2-121-81-81-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metricsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
FlowVisual managementDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ForecastingFlowDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
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