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| Criterion |  Engineering Kanban |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | Ongoing | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | FlowVisual managementDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ForecastingFlowDelivery |