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Criterion
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min5-20 min1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-83-204-12 Experten6-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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