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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-60 min1 h bis mehrere Wochen45-60 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
2-91-82-83-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsPDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard ChangeAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationEffortRisk
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