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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 min30-90 min Setup, danach laufend1-4 Wochen90-180 min
Participantsdifferent
2-91-86-30 Experten3-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesCoD Table, Prioritization Sequence
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
ForecastingFlowDelivery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
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