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| Criterion |  Agile Ideal Days |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-60 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 90-180 min | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate |
Participantsdifferent | 2-9 | 1-8 | 3-8 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortAgile | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | AgileDiscoveryDelivery |