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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 min5-20 min1-4 WochenHalf day
Participantsdifferent
2-93-206-30 Experten3-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationEffortRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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