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| Criterion |  Agile Ideal Days |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-60 min | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-9 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortAgile | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy | EstimationEffortRisk |