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| Criterion |  Agile Ideal Days |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 15-60 min | 1-4 Wochen | 5-20 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 2-9 | 6-30 Experten | 3-20 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortAgile | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationEffortRisk | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |