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| Criterion |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-60 min | laufend | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-12 | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ForecastingFlowDelivery |