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Criterion
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Purposedifferent
IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h20–45 min30-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-8Small cross-functional group1-63-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Issue Map, Positions, Argument NotesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions
Tagsno overlap
RationaleKnowledgeDecision
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
DecisionTreeOptions
FailureResilienceRisk
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