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Criterion
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-3 h1-4 h20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-83-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Issue Map, Positions, Argument NotesFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
RationaleKnowledgeDecision
FailureResilienceRisk
RiskDecisionSensemaking
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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