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Criterion
How Might We
Innovation
How Might We
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Purposedifferent
With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
30–45 min1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-106-30 ExpertenNutzertraffic2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea PromptsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
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