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Criterion
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Purposedifferent
The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
Multiple workshops over several weeks5-20 min15-45 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-201-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics checkEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog
Tagsno overlap
GrowthBehaviorRetention
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
GrowthRetentionConversion
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