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| Criterion |  Operations Gemba Walk |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Operations PDCA Cycle |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-120 min | 15-45 min | 1 h bis mehrere Wochen | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-6 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Observation Notes, Improvement Ideas | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | PDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard Change | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | LeanObservationProcessOperations | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | Continuous improvementLeanExperiments | EstimationEffortRisk |