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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Agile WSJF |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 1-3 h | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-10 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |