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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Agile WSJF |  Operations ABC Analysis |  Operations Gemba Walk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention. | When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 30-60 min | 30-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List | Observation Notes, Improvement Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio | LeanObservationProcessOperations |