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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Trade-off Analysis.
Decision Making
Trade-off Analysis
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration of a decision table with criteria rows, weighted ratings, and a narrowly leading alternative.
Decision Making
Decision Matrix
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-120 minHalf day45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-102-83-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsTrade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted DownsidesLeverage Map, Action StrategyDecision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected Option
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs
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