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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Pareto Analysis
Decision Making
Pareto Analysis
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.In many problem situations, effect is distributed unequally across many causes. A Pareto Analysis separates the few drivers with high leverage from the long remainder and focuses attention on what measurably moves the needle.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-60 min2-6 h1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-101-63-103-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsPareto Chart, Top Causes, Focus ListEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
PrioritizationQualityFocusRoot cause
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
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