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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Agile Ideal Days |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Agile ROAM Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 15-60 min | 5-20 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-9 | 3-20 | 3-15 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | ROAM Board, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | EstimationEffortAgile | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment |