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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 minHalber Tag1-4 h30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-105-203-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action PlanFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation Backlog
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ResilienceOperationsIncident
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
Root causeQualityOperations
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