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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Decision Matrix |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Trade-off Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 90-180 min | 45-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Decision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected Option | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Trade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted Downsides |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions |